Throughout the year, Ghana have struggled to maintain a high level of consistency as their current generation is getting older and lacking an influential player with outstanding attacking qualities, something the Americans have in abundance and something we think will tip the scales in their favour come Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Ghana
58.33% ( 0.32)	23.79% ( 0.06)	17.88% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32% (

-0.72)

53.68% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83% (

-0.62)

75.17% (

0.62)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

-0.15)

18.18% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

-0.26)

49.18% (

0.26)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.08% (

-0.88)

43.92% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.94% (

-0.73)

80.05% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

USA 58.33%

Ghana 17.88%

Draw 23.78%

USA	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 58.33%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.88%