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USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 13, 2023 at 12.30am UK
 
Panama national football team

USA
1 - 1
Panama

Ferreira (105')
Robinson (86')
FT
(aet)
Anderson (99')
Godoy (101')
Panama win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 2-2 Canada (3-2 pen.)
Monday, July 10 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Panama 4-0 Qatar
Sunday, July 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We say: USA 2-0 Panama

 There is an argument that can be made for Panama performing better than the US so far at this tournament, but the Americans have shown they do not need to be at their best necessarily to emerge victorious. While Los Canaleros have a formidable starting 11, the US have too many difference makers who can change the complexion of this game, and that is why we are leaning towards them to advance into the final once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.54%).

Result
USADrawPanama
63.67%21.84%14.48%
Both teams to score 44.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.27%51.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.5%73.5%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36%15.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34%44.66%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.72%47.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3%82.69%
Score Analysis
    USA 63.66%
    Panama 14.48%
    Draw 21.84%
USADrawPanama
1-0 @ 13.71%
2-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 5.9%
4-0 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 63.66%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.84%
0-1 @ 5.54%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 2.08%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.48%

How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 2 vs Winner Quarter-final 3

Winner Quarter-final 2
76.2%
Draw
19.0%
Winner Quarter-final 3
4.8%
63
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2022 12am
Third Round
USA
5-1
Panama
Pulisic (17' pen., 45+4' pen., 65'), Arriola (23'), Ferreira (27')
Pulisic (69'), Long (85')
Godoy (86')
Godoy (45+3'), Blackburn (45+3'), Davis (57')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2021 11pm
Third Round
Panama
1-0
USA
> Preview
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
USA
6-2
Panama
Reyna (18'), Gioacchini (22', 26'), Soto (83', 90+1'), Lletget (87')
McKennie (50'), Gioacchini (51')
Fajardo (8', 79')
Escobar (41'), Murillo (42'), Griffith (70'), Torres (73')
Jun 27, 2019 2am
Group Stage
Panama
0-1
USA

Galvan (74')
Altidore (66')
Jan 28, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
USA
3-0
Panama
Mihailovic (40'), Zimmerman (80'), Ramirez (89')
rhs 2.0
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