MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:30:56| >> :600:42860309:42860309:
USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 3am UK
Soldier Field
Jamaica national football team

USA
1 - 1
Jamaica

Vazquez (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lowe (13')
Lowe (3'), Lawrence (83'), Blake (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica

All competitions
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Jordan
Monday, June 19 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: USA 2-0 Jamaica

 The United States have perhaps the best talent pool to choose from in all of CONCACAF, and although many of those selected have not played together on the international stage, they should be familiar with one another as all but seven of them currently feature in MLS. For Jamaica, their golden generation is nearing its end, and their lack of cohesion could cost them this weekend against a side with a ton of attacking quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 79.62%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 4.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.88%) and 3-0 (13.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.71%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
USADrawJamaica
79.62% (-0.012 -0.01) 15.39% (0.18 0.18) 4.99% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 27.59% (-1.32 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-1.325 -1.33)52.78% (1.331 1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-1.143 -1.14)74.41% (1.148 1.15)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (-0.357 -0.36)11.18% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.32% (-0.795 -0.8)35.68% (0.8 0.8)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.06% (-1.356 -1.36)68.94% (1.359 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.42% (-0.514 -0.51)94.58% (0.51799999999999 0.52)
Score Analysis
    USA 79.61%
    Jamaica 4.99%
    Draw 15.39%
USADrawJamaica
2-0 @ 18.5% (0.42 0.42)
1-0 @ 16.88% (0.62 0.62)
3-0 @ 13.51% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 7.4% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.227 -0.23)
5-0 @ 3.24% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.092 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 79.61%
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.397 0.4)
1-1 @ 6.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 1.28% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 15.39%
0-1 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 1.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 4.99%

How you voted: USA vs Jamaica

USA
82.9%
Draw
5.7%
Jamaica
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 10pm
Third Round
Jamaica
1-1
USA
Antonio (22')
Watson (8'), Brown (40')
Weah (11')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Jamaica
Lawrence (1'), Lowe (34')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
Quarter-Finals
USA
1-0
Jamaica
Hoppe (83')

Burke (30'), Turgott (50'), Lowe (89')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2021 5.20pm
Friendlies 1
USA
4-1
Jamaica
Dest (34'), Aaronson (53'), Lletget (83', 90')
Cannon (48')
Lowe (71')
Jul 4, 2019 2am
Semi-Finals
Jamaica
1-3
USA
Nicholson (69')
Watson (39'), Flemmings (43'), Vassell (49')
McKennie (9'), Pulisic (52', 87')
McKennie (31'), Altidore (43')
rhs 2.0
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