World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Oct 8, 2021 at 12.30am UK

USA
2 - 0
Jamaica

Pepi (49', 62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (1'), Lowe (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Jamaica
54.85%	25.41%	19.74%

Both teams to score 44.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.74%

57.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9%

78.1%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09%

20.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.36%

53.64%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.15%

43.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20%

80%

Score Analysis

USA 54.85%

Jamaica 19.74%

Draw 25.41%

USA	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 14.35% 2-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.85%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.74%