CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Mar 27, 2023 at 1am UK
Mexico2 - 2Jamaica
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Mexico and Jamaica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Suriname 0-2 Mexico
Friday, March 24 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, March 24 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 77.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 6.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (12.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mexico | Draw | Jamaica |
77.76% ( -0.3) | 15.89% ( 0.22) | 6.35% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 33.39% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.48% ( -0.61) | 49.52% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.45% ( -0.55) | 71.56% ( 0.56) |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.19% ( -0.24) | 10.81% ( 0.24) |