MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:58:07| >> :60:72:72:
Jamaica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Jun 15, 2022 at 1am UK
Independence Park
Mexico national football team

Jamaica
1 - 1
Mexico

Bailey (4')
Topey (7'), Bell (48'), Lowe (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romo (45+3')
Uriel (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Jamaica and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

Last Six:
Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Jamaica 1-2 Mexico

 Given the recent disarray in the Jamaica camp, the home side are not best placed to take advantage of their visitors' relative inexperience, and they are still set to lose to a second-string Mexican side. The Reggae Boyz last kept a clean sheet in October - some 11 games ago - so there is little chance of shutting out an attack motivated by the chance of a place on the plane to Qatar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
JamaicaDrawMexico
25.73% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 25.02% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 49.25% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)50.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84% (-0.038 -0.04)72.16% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)70.76% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.4% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)52.83% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 25.73%
    Mexico 49.25%
    Draw 25.01%
JamaicaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 25.73%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.25%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Mexico

Jamaica
16.1%
Draw
12.5%
Mexico
71.4%
56
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 12am
Jamaica
1-2
Mexico
Johnson (50')
Lowe (45+2')
Martin (81'), Vega (83')
Sep 3, 2021 3am
Mexico
2-1
Jamaica
Vega (50'), Martin (89')
Vega (21'), Alvarez (45+3')
Nicholson (65')
Burke (14')
Jul 27, 2015 12.30am
Jamaica
1-3
Mexico
Mattocks (79')
Watson (24'), Austin (30')
Guardado (31'), Corona (47'), Peralta (61')
Duenas (7'), Reyes (34')
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