World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Mar 24, 2022 at 11.05pm UK

Independence Park

Jamaica
1 - 1
El Salvador

Gray (72')
King (25'), Lowe (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zavaleta (21')
Ceren (42'), Henriquez (50'), Lemus (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Jamaica and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

Last Six:

Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Jamaica vs. Mexico
Wednesday, June 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

El Salvador

Last Six:

Last Game: Grenada 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, June 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: El Salvador vs. USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Jamaica 2-0 El Salvador

The Reggae Boyz will be determined to finish this qualifying cycle strong, and they have the individual quality to get the job done against the Salvadorans. We believe that the World Cup dream for El Salvador will end here, as they still have work to do when it comes to being a consistent threat in the attack, plus they are a different team when playing away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Jamaica	Draw	El Salvador
45.35%	22.71%	31.93%

Both teams to score 64.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.14%

35.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.06%

57.94%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67%

16.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08%

45.92%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51%

22.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96%

56.04%

Score Analysis

Jamaica 45.35%

El Salvador 31.93%

Draw 22.71%

Jamaica	Draw	El Salvador
2-1 @ 9% 1-0 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.35%	1-1 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 7.41% 0-1 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.93%