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Honduras national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 31, 2022 at 12.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano
El Salvador national football team

Honduras
0 - 2
El Salvador

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonilla (35'), Ceren (90+2')
Landaverde (24'), Tamacas (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Honduras 1-1 El Salvador

The reverse fixture ended in a goalless draw, and with just three points separating the sides in the standings, we think that Sunday's contest could also end level as the two teams continue to struggle to find a winning formula. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
HondurasDrawEl Salvador
41.7%23.31%34.98%
Both teams to score 63.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.21%37.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96%60.03%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43%18.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.17%49.83%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26%21.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08%54.91%
Score Analysis
    Honduras 41.7%
    El Salvador 34.98%
    Draw 23.31%
HondurasDrawEl Salvador
2-1 @ 8.73%
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.66%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-1 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Honduras vs El Salvador

Honduras
46.9%
Draw
34.4%
El Salvador
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2021 12am
Third Round
El Salvador
0-0
Honduras
Zavaleta (22'), Arnulfo Baires Hernandez (90+7'), Dominguez (90+10')
Garcia (16')
Jun 26, 2019 3am
Group Stage
Honduras
4-0
El Salvador
Alvarez (59'), Castillo (66'), Acosta (75'), Izaguirre (90')
Figueroa (72')

Tamacas (94')
Jun 3, 2018 1am
International Friendlies
Honduras
0-1
El Salvador

Garrido (22')
Pineda (19')
Rivera (43'), Larin (76'), Burgos (90')
rhs 2.0
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11Brentford115152222016
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
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