World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 17, 2021 at 1.05am UK
Costa Rica2 - 1Honduras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Honduras |
| 40.24% | 27.66% | 32.1% |
| Both teams to score 48.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.57% | 57.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.77% | 78.23% |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% | 27.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.43% | 63.57% |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% | 33.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.37% | 69.62% |
| Score Analysis |
Costa Rica 40.23%
Honduras 32.1%
Draw 27.65%
| Costa Rica | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.23% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.1% |
How you voted: Costa Rica vs Honduras
Costa Rica
79.2%Draw
16.7%Honduras
4.2%24
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 1.05am
Third Round
Honduras
0-0
Costa Rica
