World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Nov 17, 2021 at 1.05am UK

Costa Rica
2 - 1
Honduras

Duarte (20'), Torres (90+5')
Campbell (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Quioto (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Honduras
40.24%	27.66%	32.1%

Both teams to score 48.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.57%

57.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.77%

78.23%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.06%

27.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43%

63.57%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96%

33.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37%

69.62%

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 40.23%

Honduras 32.1%

Draw 27.65%

Costa Rica	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.23%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.1%