World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 11, 2021 at 12am UK
Mexico3 - 0Honduras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 64.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.82%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
| 64.87% | 25.51% | 9.62% |
| Both teams to score 25.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.31% | 70.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.33% | 87.67% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% | 22.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.92% | 56.08% |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 32.77% | 67.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 6.08% | 93.92% |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 64.85%
Honduras 9.62%
Draw 25.51%
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 22.56% 2-0 @ 16.82% 3-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.32% 4-0 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.83% Total : 64.85% | 0-0 @ 15.13% 1-1 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.09% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 1.78% 0-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.64% Total : 9.62% |
How you voted: Mexico vs Honduras
Mexico
91.4%Draw
5.7%Honduras
2.9%35
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Quarter-Finals
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Jun 13, 2021 1am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
0-0
Honduras
Jul 2, 2015 2.30am
