World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 6, 2021 at 12am UK
Costa Rica0 - 1Mexico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Mexico |
| 24.8% | 26.01% | 49.19% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
