World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano
Honduras2 - 3Panama
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Honduras win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Panama |
| 36.34% | 24.9% | 38.76% |
| Both teams to score 58.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% | 45.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% | 67.58% |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.13% | 58.87% |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% | 23.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.97% | 57.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Honduras 36.34%
Panama 38.76%
Draw 24.9%
| Honduras | Draw | Panama |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% 1-0 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.76% |
How you voted: Honduras vs Panama
Honduras
30.6%Draw
17.7%Panama
51.6%62
