World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano
Honduras2 - 3Panama
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Honduras win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Panama |
| 36.34% | 24.9% | 38.76% |
| Both teams to score 58.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
