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Panama national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2021 at 2.30am UK
 
Honduras national football team

Panama
2 - 3
Honduras

Davis (32' pen.), Yanis (45+1')
Palacios (13'), Alonso Miller Molina (54'), Carrasquilla (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Quioto (22', 65'), Agustin Lopez Rodriguez (61')
Figueroa (17'), Crisanto (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Panama and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawHonduras
42.15%27.05%30.79%
Both teams to score 49.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47%55.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29%76.7%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98%26.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94%61.05%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.56%
Score Analysis
    Panama 42.15%
    Honduras 30.79%
    Draw 27.05%
PanamaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.52%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.79%

How you voted: Panama vs Honduras

Panama
Draw
Honduras
Panama
27.7%
Draw
32.3%
Honduras
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2018 2am
International Friendlies
Honduras
1-0
Panama
Lozano (75' pen.)

Sanchez (53'), Andrade (74')
Jul 10, 2015 11pm
Group Stage
Honduras
1-1
Panama
Najar (82')
Beckeles (59'), Claros (85')
Tejada (21')
Tejada (65'), Machado (74'), Penedo (91'), Henriquez (96')
Henriquez (97')
rhs 2.0
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