World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round

Jun 9, 2021 at 2.05am UK

Panama
3 - 0
Dominican Rep.

Godoy (8'), Joel Barcenas (67'), Waterman Ruiz (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Flores (72')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Panama and Dominican Republic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	Dominican Republic
41.51%	23.83%	34.66%

Both teams to score 61.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.59%

40.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.21%

62.78%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25%

19.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22%

51.78%

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87%

23.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01%

56.98%

Score Analysis

Panama 41.51%

Dominican Republic 34.66%

Draw 23.83%

Panama	Draw	Dominican Republic
2-1 @ 8.8% 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.15% Total : 41.51%	1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 7.94% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.66%