Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dominica had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Dominica win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Panama in this match.