World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round

Mar 27, 2021 at 10pm UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Anguilla
0 - 6
Dominican Rep.

(58')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Romero (22' pen., 27'), Enrique Lorenzo Cabrera (25', 46'), Peralta (67'), Jose Espinal Florencio (76')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Anguilla and Dominican Republic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 72.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-3 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an Anguilla win it was 2-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Anguilla	Draw	Dominican Republic
11.79%	15.25%	72.97%

Both teams to score 60.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.45%

27.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.81%

48.19%

Anguilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41%

35.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.65%

72.36%

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.46%

6.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.61%

24.39%

Score Analysis

Anguilla 11.79%

Dominican Republic 72.97%

Draw 15.25%

Anguilla	Draw	Dominican Republic
2-1 @ 3.39% 1-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.59% 2-0 @ 1.24% 3-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.99% Total : 11.79%	1-1 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 4.62% 0-0 @ 2.33% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.29% Total : 15.25%	1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 8.66% 1-3 @ 8.13% 0-3 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 6.35% 1-4 @ 5.55% 0-4 @ 5.37% 2-3 @ 4.2% 1-5 @ 3.03% 0-5 @ 2.93% 2-4 @ 2.87% 2-5 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.38% 0-6 @ 1.33% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.81% Total : 72.97%