World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 14, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Canada4 - 1Panama
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Panama had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Panama |
| 60.03% | 22.37% | 17.6% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
