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World Cup
Honduras national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 28, 2022 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano
Canada national football team

Honduras
0 - 2
Canada


Mejia (29'), Rodriguez (60'), Quaye (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maldonado (10' og.), David (73')
Fraser (45+1'), Hutchinson (62'), Cavallini (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Honduras 0-0 Canada

 The Canadians have not beaten La H in Honduras since 1985, and while playing without Davies will be tough, not having Eustaquio is arguably even more significant, as the man currently on loan at FC Porto has done a marvellous job of managing games for this team. Honduras have played better with their new manager, but it seems as though father time has got the better of this group, and with the warm climate in Central America, it could be a difficult match for the game breakers of each unit to show their quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
HondurasDrawCanada
22.58%27.54%49.88%
Both teams to score 42.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.28%61.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.47%81.53%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57%43.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35%79.65%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75%25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34%59.66%
Score Analysis
    Honduras 22.58%
    Canada 49.88%
    Draw 27.53%
HondurasDrawCanada
1-0 @ 9.06%
2-1 @ 5.24%
2-0 @ 3.78%
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-0 @ 1.05%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.58%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 15.05%
0-2 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-3 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 4.02%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.67%
1-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 49.88%

How you voted: Honduras vs Canada

Honduras
10.5%
Draw
25.3%
Canada
64.2%
95
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2021 1.05am
Third Round
Canada
1-1
Honduras
Larin (66' pen.)
Vitoria (62')
Lopez (40' pen.)
Rivas (45+2'), Pineda (80')
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