World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Mar 27, 2022 at 9.05pm UK

BMO Field

Canada
4 - 0
Jamaica

Larin (13'), Buchanan (44'), Hoilett (83'), Mariappa (88' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brown (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Canada and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

Last Six:

Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Next Game: Canada vs. Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica

Last Six:

Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Jamaica vs. Mexico
Wednesday, June 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

The Jamaicans should be able to contain the Canadians speed, but as fast as they are, their technical ability is not on the same level as Canada. Les Rouges were unlucky to come away empty-handed versus Los Ticos, though they have never lost consecutive matches since Herdman took over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Jamaica
62.85%	22.89%	14.25%

Both teams to score 41.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.02%

55.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92%

77.07%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6%

17.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18%

47.82%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.8%

50.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.21%

84.79%

Score Analysis

Canada 62.85%

Jamaica 14.25%

Draw 22.88%

Canada	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 15.27% 2-0 @ 13.35% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 5.37% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.08% Total : 62.85%	1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.88%	0-1 @ 6.02% 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 2.07% Other @ 2.53% Total : 14.25%