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Panama national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 31, 2022 at 2.05am UK
 
Canada national football team

Panama
1 - 0
Canada

Torres (49')
Davis (15'), Martinez (47'), Cummings (57'), Carrasquilla (89'), Luis Rodriguez (90+5'), Mejia (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cavallini (16'), Osorio (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

Last Six:
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Panama vs. Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

Last Six:
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Canada vs. Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Panama 0-0 Canada

 Goals are at a premium when these sides face off in Panama, with six of those meetings ending in a 0-0 draw. Even though the Canadians can improve their chances of a good World Cup draw with a victory, the most important thing for this group heading to Qatar is to stay healthy, so we expect a conservative match from both teams, who have little to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panama in this match.

Result
PanamaDrawCanada
38.38%28.61%33%
Both teams to score 45.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.33%60.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26%80.74%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4%30.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16%66.84%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9%34.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21%70.78%
Score Analysis
    Panama 38.38%
    Canada 33%
    Draw 28.61%
PanamaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.43%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.22%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 33%

How you voted: Panama vs Canada

Panama
9.2%
Draw
22.1%
Canada
68.7%
131
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
Canada
4-1
Panama
Murillo (28' og.), Davies (66'), Buchanan (71'), David (78')
Brym (90+5')
Blackburn (5')
Davis (26'), Murillo (31'), Cooper (54'), Godoy (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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