World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Feb 3, 2022 at 3am UK

Mexico
1 - 0
Panama

Jimenez (80' pen.)
Herrera (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Davis (89'), Fajardo (90'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Mexico and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With only a point separating the two sides in the standings, Wednesday's encounter is expected to be a close contest, but having won four of the previous five meetings, history is on Mexico's side, and we think that they will edge out Panama to claim a crucial victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Panama had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Panama
60.53%	23.74%	15.73%

Both teams to score 42.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41%

56.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43%

77.57%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54%

18.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35%

49.65%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.56%

48.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.45%

83.55%

Score Analysis

Mexico 60.52%

Panama 15.73%

Draw 23.74%

Mexico	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 15.1% 2-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 5.21% 4-0 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.89% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.52%	1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.49% Total : 23.74%	0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.73%