World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Jan 30, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Azteca

Mexico
0 - 0
Costa Rica

Rodriguez (50'), Moreno (81')

Martinez (13'), Fuller (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Mexico and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mexico 1-0 Costa Rica

The Mexicans have been shaky and unconvincing, to say the least, but they still know how to get through those tough stretches, and they should be able to push numbers forward and eventually find a breakthrough against a Costa Rican side, who have rarely created much quality to worry other teams in the Octagon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.53%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.04%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Costa Rica
59.76%	26.81%	13.43%

Both teams to score 31.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.33%

68.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.63%

86.38%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28%

23.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15%

57.85%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.79%

59.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.76%

90.24%

Score Analysis

Mexico 59.75%

Costa Rica 13.43%

Draw 26.8%

Mexico	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 20.2% 2-0 @ 14.53% 2-1 @ 7.62% 3-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.99% Total : 59.75%	0-0 @ 14.04% 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 2% Other @ 0.18% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 2.78% 0-2 @ 1.93% Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.43%