MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:59:55| >> :60:10:10:
USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Apr 20, 2023 at 3am UK
Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium
Mexico national football team

USA
1 - 1
Mexico

Ferreira (81')
Sonora (69'), Zimmerman (89'), Acosta (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uriel (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between USA and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
Last Game: USA 1-0 El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England377
2USA315
3Iran3-33
4Wales3-51

Mexico

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Jamaica
Monday, March 27 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: USA 1-0 Mexico

 There are some big games this summer for these teams, but given their rivalry, we still expect a tight, heated encounter for this midweek clash. We may not see the best American players on the field or the bench for this match, but they have a little more international experience than those who will feature for El Tri, and that along with the psychological edge they have on them at the moment could make the difference in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
USADrawMexico
36.37% (1.55 1.55) 27.87% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 35.76% (-1.572 -1.57)
Both teams to score 48.19% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.24% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)57.76% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)78.5% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.95899999999999 0.96)30.39% (-0.957 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (1.127 1.13)66.58% (-1.125 -1.13)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-0.996 -1)30.77% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-1.191 -1.19)67.04% (1.194 1.19)
Score Analysis
    USA 36.36%
    Mexico 35.76%
    Draw 27.86%
USADrawMexico
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.353 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.36%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 11.02% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: USA vs Mexico

USA
46.7%
Draw
15.0%
Mexico
38.3%
60
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 2am
Third Round
Mexico
0-0
USA

Alvarez (21'), Martin (39'), Vega (90+1')

Robinson (9'), Yedlin (26'), Weah (39')
Nov 13, 2021 2.10am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Mexico
Pulisic (74'), McKennie (85')
Robinson (59'), Steffen (68'), McKennie (68')
Robinson (89')

Romo (45+1'), Rodriguez (68')
Aug 2, 2021 1.30am
Final
USA
1-0
Mexico
Robinson (117')
Acosta (113')

Herrera (72'), Gallardo (114'), Alvarez (117')
Sep 7, 2019 1.30am
International Friendlies
USA
0-3
Mexico

Long (45'), Morales (58')
Hernandez (21'), Gutierrez (78'), Uriel (82')
Sanchez (58'), Hernandez (74')
Jul 8, 2019 2am
Final
Mexico
1-0
USA
Dos Santos (73')
rhs 2.0
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