Neither side look like the CONCACAF giants that we have seen through the years, although they each have enough quality in attack to make a difference.
At an altitude of 2,200 metres above sea level, the Azteca is not the easiest venue to play in, but El Tri have drawn two fixtures there in this qualifying round, and we anticipate a stalemate between these sides who have so much at stake.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for USA had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
