Honduras0 - 1Mexico
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Honduras 1-3 Mexico
Since the start of this qualifying cycle, the Mexicans have rarely looked like the giants of CONCACAF that we are used to seeing, but they face a group in Honduras who still allow their share of clear-cut scoring opportunities, which El Tri should be able to bury. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Mexico |
| 17.27% | 24.34% | 58.39% |
| Both teams to score 43.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.51% | 77.49% |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.66% | 46.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.02% | 81.98% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% | 19.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.08% | 50.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.64% 3-1 @ 1.11% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.41% Total : 17.27% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 14.69% 0-2 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-3 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-4 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.39% |
