Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.