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World Cup
USA national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Feb 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 
Honduras national football team

USA
3 - 0
Honduras

McKennie (8'), Zimmerman (37'), Pulisic (68')
Weah (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mejia (36'), Quaye (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between USA and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: USA 3-0 Honduras

 With the pressure mounting on this American team to right the wrongs of their 2018 campaign, playing the Hondurans might be just what they need, as La H are a wounded animal at the moment, who appear to have lost their way, while allowing opposing sides free access to their penalty area, which we expect the US will use to their advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.26%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for USA in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for USA.

Result
USADrawHonduras
61.78%24.65%13.58%
Both teams to score 35.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.29%62.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.75%82.26%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65%20.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25%52.76%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.66%55.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.92%88.08%
Score Analysis
    USA 61.78%
    Honduras 13.58%
    Draw 24.64%
USADrawHonduras
1-0 @ 17.93%
2-0 @ 14.27%
2-1 @ 8.44%
3-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.48%
4-0 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2%
Total : 61.78%
0-0 @ 11.26%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 3.14%
0-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 13.58%

How you voted: USA vs Honduras

USA
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Honduras
14.3%
63
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2021 3.30am
Third Round
Honduras
1-4
USA
Josue Velasquez Moya (27')
Robinson (48'), Pepi (75'), Aaronson (86'), Lletget (90+3')
> Preview
Jul 8, 2015 2.30am
Group Stage
USA
2-1
Honduras
Dempsey (25', 64')
Brooks (16')
Discua (69')
Palacios (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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