World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Feb 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK

USA
3 - 0
Honduras

McKennie (8'), Zimmerman (37'), Pulisic (68')
Weah (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mejia (36'), Quaye (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between USA and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With the pressure mounting on this American team to right the wrongs of their 2018 campaign, playing the Hondurans might be just what they need, as La H are a wounded animal at the moment, who appear to have lost their way, while allowing opposing sides free access to their penalty area, which we expect the US will use to their advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.26%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for USA in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for USA.

Result
USA	Draw	Honduras
61.78%	24.65%	13.58%

Both teams to score 35.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.29%

62.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.75%

82.26%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.65%

20.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.25%

52.76%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.66%

55.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.92%

88.08%

Score Analysis

USA 61.78%

Honduras 13.58%

Draw 24.64%

USA	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 17.93% 2-0 @ 14.27% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 61.78%	0-0 @ 11.26% 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 2.5% Other @ 0.28% Total : 24.64%	0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 1.8% Total : 13.58%