These are two of the highest-ranked teams in their respective regions, but the Americans have more individual quality across the board and are a challenging side to break down on home soil. It is hard to know how good The Atlas Lions genuinely are, given that most of their encounters have been versus African teams, and we expect it will be difficult for them to find ways through an organised and talented US squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Morocco
43.12% ( -0.17)	29.67% ( 0.02)	27.2% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 40.85% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.38% (

-0.01)

65.62% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.68% (

-0.01)

84.32% (

0.01)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

-0.1)

30.34% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

-0.12)

66.52% (

0.12)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.64% (

0.12)

41.36% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.12% (

0.1)

77.88% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

USA 43.12%

Morocco 27.2%

Draw 29.66%

USA	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.29% Total : 43.12%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.54% 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.66%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.2%