MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:38:37| >> :60:559:559:
USA national football team
International Friendly
Jun 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 
Morocco national football team

USA
3 - 0
Morocco

Aaronson (26'), Weah (32'), Wright (64' pen.)
Long (28'), Cannon (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hakimi (61'), Saiss (62'), Bono (61'), Amrabat (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between USA and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

Last Six:
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: USA vs. Grenada
Saturday, June 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Morocco

Last Six:
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Liberia vs. Morocco
Monday, June 13 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: USA 2-0 Morocco

 These are two of the highest-ranked teams in their respective regions, but the Americans have more individual quality across the board and are a challenging side to break down on home soil. It is hard to know how good The Atlas Lions genuinely are, given that most of their encounters have been versus African teams, and we expect it will be difficult for them to find ways through an organised and talented US squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawMorocco
43.12% (-0.169 -0.17) 29.67% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 27.2% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 40.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.38% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)84.32% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)30.34% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (-0.121 -0.12)66.52% (0.122 0.12)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.64% (0.117 0.12)41.36% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (0.102 0.1)77.88% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    USA 43.12%
    Morocco 27.2%
    Draw 29.66%
USADrawMorocco
1-0 @ 14.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 43.12%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.54%
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.66%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: USA vs Morocco

USA
46.9%
Draw
19.5%
Morocco
33.6%
128
rhs 2.0
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