Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Mohamed V

Liberia
0 - 2
Morocco

Pabai (3'), Sanoh (55'), (79'), Dorley (83'), Salmon (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fajr (56' pen.), En-Nesyri (58')
Aboukhlal (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Liberia and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Burundi 1-2 Liberia
Tuesday, March 29 at 11am in International Friendlies

Morocco

Last Six:

Last Game: Morocco 2-1 South Africa
Thursday, June 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Morocco head into the game as firm favourites against a Liberia side who have lost seven of their last eight outings in all competitions. The Atlas Lions have been superb on home turf and we predict they will maintain this solid run and see off the floundering visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Morocco
23.76% ( -0.17)	25.77% ( -0.01)	50.47% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 48.33% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31% (

-0.11)

54.69% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.99% (

-0.09)

76.01% (

0.09)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.73% (

-0.22)

38.27% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.97% (

-0.21)

75.03% (

0.21)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

0.03)

21.71% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

0.04)

54.86% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Liberia 23.76%

Morocco 50.47%

Draw 25.76%

Liberia	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.76%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.47%