CONCACAF Nations League | Third-Place Playoff
Jun 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Panama0 - 1Mexico
We said: Panama 0-2 Mexico
Even though a medal would mean a lot more to the Panamanians than it would to Mexico, we are tipping El Tri to come out on top because of their experience and impressive track record against Los Canaleros. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Panama had a probability of 38.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Panama win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
Result | ||
Panama | Draw | Mexico |
38.29% | 20.57% | 41.14% |
Both teams to score 75.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.82% | 23.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.5% | 42.5% |
Panama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.25% | 13.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.98% | 41.02% |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.24% | 12.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.97% | 39.03% |
Score Analysis |
Panama 38.29%
Mexico 41.14%
Draw 20.57%
Panama | Draw | Mexico |
2-1 @ 7.11% 3-2 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 4.7% 1-0 @ 3.48% 2-0 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-3 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.13% 5-2 @ 0.95% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.29% | 2-2 @ 7.32% 1-1 @ 7.17% 3-3 @ 3.32% 0-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 5.06% 2-3 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.72% 0-1 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.55% 3-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 1.07% 2-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.45% Total : 41.14% |
How you voted: Panama vs Mexico
Panama
18.9%Mexico
81.1%37
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 14:24:28
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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