MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 22:20:19| >> :60:3160:3160:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Jun 16, 2023 at 12am UK
Allianz Stadium
Canada national football team

Panama
0 - 2
Canada


Blackman (41'), Carrasquilla (62'), Godoy (89')
Davis (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
David (25'), Davies (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in International Friendlies
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 4-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Panama 0-3 Canada

Panama will fight hard to defy the odds in Nevada on Thursday, but Canada boast far more quality all over the pitch, and we can only envisage them progressing to the final with a dominant victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Panama had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawCanada
34.27% (0.237 0.24) 28.71% (-0.208 -0.21) 37.01% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.62% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.11% (0.73399999999999 0.73)60.89% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09% (0.548 0.55)80.91% (-0.547 -0.55)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.54600000000001 0.55)33.34% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.594 0.59)69.96% (-0.593 -0.59)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (0.358 0.36)31.56% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.41 0.41)67.95% (-0.40899999999999 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Panama 34.27%
    Canada 37.01%
    Draw 28.71%
PanamaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 12.13% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Panama vs Canada

Panama
15.7%
Draw
5.9%
Canada
78.4%
51
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 12am
International Friendly
Canada
0-0
Panama
Mar 31, 2022 2.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-0
Canada
Torres (49')
Davis (15'), Martinez (47'), Cummings (57'), Carrasquilla (89'), Luis Rodriguez (90+5'), Mejia (90+7')

Cavallini (16'), Osorio (89')
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
Third Round
Canada
4-1
Panama
Murillo (28' og.), Davies (66'), Buchanan (71'), David (78')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
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8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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