CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Mar 29, 2023 at 1am UK

BMO Field

Canada
4 - 1
Honduras

Larin (8', 11'), David (49'), Osorio (86')
Johnston (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benguche (73')
Martinez (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Canada and Honduras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Curacao 0-2 Canada
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Croatia	3	3	5
3	Belgium	3	-1	4
4	Canada	3	-5	0

Honduras

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.72%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Honduras
70.95% ( -0.93)	18.78% ( 0.57)	10.27% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 41.35% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05% (

-1.4)

48.95% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96% (

-1.28)

71.04% (

1.28)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.47% (

-0.67)

12.54% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.44% (

-1.4)

38.57% (

1.4)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.27% (

-0.17)

52.73% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.53% (

-0.11)

86.47% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Canada 70.95%

Honduras 10.27%

Draw 18.78%

Canada	Draw	Honduras
2-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 70.95%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.78%	0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.27%