MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:43:15| >> :60:573:573:
El Salvador national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carías Andino
Honduras national football team

El Salvador
0 - 1
Honduras


Orellana (10'), Tamacas (23'), Cartagena (61'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cartagena (34' og.)
Garcia (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between El Salvador and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Nicaragua 1-0 El Salvador
Thursday, November 17 at 2am in International Friendlies
Next Game: USA vs. El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Canada vs. Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: El Salvador 0-0 Honduras

With both teams on the cusp of a potential trip to the semi-finals of the Nations League next week, we expect this encounter to be more of a training session to get back into game shape, as neither have played an international fixture in over nine months. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
El SalvadorDrawHonduras
45.96% (0.16200000000001 0.16) 26.54% (-0.058 -0.06) 27.5% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.29% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (0.168 0.17)55.03% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (0.137 0.14)76.3% (-0.137 -0.14)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.149 0.15)23.9% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (0.213 0.21)58.11% (-0.213 -0.21)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)35.23% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)71.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 45.96%
    Honduras 27.5%
    Draw 26.54%
El SalvadorDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 27.5%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Honduras

El Salvador
55.4%
Draw
12.2%
Honduras
32.4%
74
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 1am
International Friendly
Honduras
P-P
El Salvador
Jan 31, 2022 12.05am
Third Round
Honduras
0-2
El Salvador
Bonilla (35'), Ceren (90+2')
Landaverde (24'), Tamacas (82')
Sep 6, 2021 12am
Third Round
El Salvador
0-0
Honduras

Zavaleta (22'), Arnulfo Baires Hernandez (90+7'), Dominguez (90+10')

Garcia (16')
Jun 26, 2019 3am
Group Stage
Honduras
4-0
El Salvador
Alvarez (59'), Castillo (66'), Acosta (75'), Izaguirre (90')
Figueroa (72')

Tamacas (94')
Jun 3, 2018 1am
International Friendlies
Honduras
0-1
El Salvador

Garrido (22')
Pineda (19')
Rivera (43'), Larin (76'), Burgos (90')
rhs 2.0
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