Friendlies 1

Mar 23, 2023 at 3am UK

Estadio Tiburcio Carías Andino

El Salvador
0 - 1
Honduras

Orellana (10'), Tamacas (23'), Cartagena (61'), Martinez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cartagena (34' og.)
Garcia (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between El Salvador and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions

Last Game: Nicaragua 1-0 El Salvador
Thursday, November 17 at 2am in International Friendlies

Next Game: USA vs. El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Canada vs. Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: El Salvador 0-0 Honduras

With both teams on the cusp of a potential trip to the semi-finals of the Nations League next week, we expect this encounter to be more of a training session to get back into game shape, as neither have played an international fixture in over nine months. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	Honduras
45.96% ( 0.16)	26.54% ( -0.06)	27.5% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

0.17)

55.03% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

0.14)

76.3% (

-0.14)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

0.15)

23.9% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

0.21)

58.11% (

-0.21)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

0.01)

35.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

0.01)

71.99% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

El Salvador 45.96%

Honduras 27.5%

Draw 26.54%

El Salvador	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 27.5%