Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nicaragua in this match.

Result
Nicaragua	Draw	El Salvador
48.99% ( 0.07)	24.79% ( -0.01)	26.21% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.6% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.08% (

-0.01)

48.91% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.99% (

-0.01)

71% (

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80% (

0.02)

19.99% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.81% (

0.04)

52.18% (

-0.05)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

-0.05)

32.99% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

-0.06)

69.58% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Nicaragua 48.98%

El Salvador 26.21%

Draw 24.79%

Nicaragua	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 48.98%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.21%