CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Mar 29, 2023 at 3am UK

Costa Rica
0 - 1
Panama

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fajardo (77')
Quintero Medina (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Costa Rica and Panama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Costa Rica
Saturday, March 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Panama

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Panama
Thursday, March 23 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Panama had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Panama
44.1% ( -0.96)	24.02% ( -0.04)	31.88% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 60.01% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

0.6)

42.2% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39% (

0.6)

64.61% (

-0.6)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

-0.17)

19.36% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85% (

-0.27)

51.14% (

0.27)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

0.91)

25.59% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

1.23)

60.46% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 44.1%

Panama 31.88%

Draw 24.02%

Costa Rica	Draw	Panama
2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 44.1%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.88%