Saudi Arabia's six warm-up friendlies within recent weeks have seen only four goals scored across all of them, so we are struggling to envisage a thriller being played out on Thursday. Panama tend to keep things tight defensively, too, having kept four clean sheets in their last six competitive fixtures. As such, it feels likely to be a one-goal match, with the significance of the occasion likely to help Renard's side get themselves over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Panama	Draw	Saudi Arabia
37.76% ( -2.06)	27.35% ( -0.05)	34.88% ( 2.11)

Both teams to score 49.72% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.17% (

0.49)

55.83% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.05% (

0.4)

76.95% (

-0.4)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

-0.95)

28.6% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

-1.2)

64.39% (

1.2)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

1.64)

30.36% (

-1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45% (

1.91)

66.55% (

-1.92)

Score Analysis

Panama 37.75%

Saudi Arabia 34.87%

Draw 27.35%

Panama	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.75%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.87%