Nicaragua did impress in the CONCACAF Nations League, but they meet a Panama side who boast more quality all over the pitch and one gearing up towards the Nations League finals next week with the aim of going into their meeting with Canada on the back of a dominant display. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	Nicaragua
59.59% ( -0.26)	23.56% ( 0.04)	16.85% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 44.64% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.68% (

0.2)

54.32% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.3% (

0.16)

75.7% (

-0.16)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

-0.02)

17.96% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

-0.04)

48.8% (

0.04)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41% (

0.41)

45.58% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6% (

0.32)

81.4% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Panama 59.57%

Nicaragua 16.85%

Draw 23.56%

Panama	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 59.57%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.85%