Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Guatemala and Nicaragua.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qatar 2-0 Guatemala
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Belize vs. Guatemala
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Cuba | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Nicaragua |
52.57% ( -5.13) | 24.86% ( 1.65) | 22.56% ( 3.49) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
