Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
