MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 09:27:10| >> :60:130:130:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
Guatemala national football team

Mexico
2 - 0
Guatemala

Jimenez (14' pen.), de la Rosa (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Saravia (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Mexico and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-1 Mexico
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 4-0 French Guiana
Tuesday, March 28 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Mexico 2-0 Guatemala

We expect Mexico to have too much quality for Guatemala, who have failed to score in each of the last five meetings between these two teams. Cocca will expect his players to build momentum ahead of important fixtures in the Nations League and Gold Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 9.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.48%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawGuatemala
71.97% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 18.94% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 9.09% (0.0091000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 36.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)52.73% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.26% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.44% (0.012 0.01)57.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)89.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 71.96%
    Guatemala 9.09%
    Draw 18.94%
MexicoDrawGuatemala
2-0 @ 15.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 15.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 71.96%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 9.09%

How you voted: Mexico vs Guatemala

Mexico
80.6%
Draw
6.5%
Guatemala
12.9%
31
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2022 1.30am
International Friendly
Mexico
0-0
Guatemala
Jul 15, 2021 2.30am
Oct 1, 2020 3am
Jul 13, 2015 2am
Group Stage
Guatemala
0-0
Mexico

Morales (11'), Aparicio (38'), Contreras (74'), Hernandez (78')
Contreras (78')

Aguilar (45'), Layun (51')
rhs 2.0
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