We said: Panama 1-0 El Salvador
El Salvador need to step up and show they are a true contending team in this region, but we do not believe they have the personnel to find a way through an experienced Panamanian backline.
Even though their Gold Cup journey will continue after this match, Christiansen is thinking long-term, and he will know that their easiest path into the semi-finals would be a first-place finish, something they are guaranteed of doing with a win or draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.