South Korea may have failed to win their first three games under Jurgen Klinsmann, but we think that they will have the extra quality required to beat El Salvador on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.04%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
South Korea	Draw	El Salvador
70.75% ( 26.79)	18.62% ( -3.84)	10.63% ( -22.95)

Both teams to score 43.07% (

-23.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

-13.4)

47.33% (

13.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

-13.77)

69.55% (

13.77)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88% (

3.98)

12.12% (

-3.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.31% (

7.81)

37.69% (

-7.81)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.01% (

-30.32)

50.99% (

30.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.67% (

-32.07)

85.33% (

32.06)

Score Analysis

South Korea 70.75%

El Salvador 10.63%

Draw 18.62%

South Korea	Draw	El Salvador
2-0 @ 13.76% ( 8.21) 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 6.96) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( 6.3) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 1.19) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 3.57) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 1.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -2) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 1.59) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.56) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.76) Other @ 2.97% Total : 70.75%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.8) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2.85) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -3.78) Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.62%	0-1 @ 4.16% ( -1.09) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( -4.59) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( -2.73) Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.63%