MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 11:19:31| >> :120:10928:10928:
Japan national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 15, 2023 at 11.10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
El Salvador national football team

Japan
6 - 0
El Salvador

Taniguchi (1'), Ueda (4' pen.), Kubo (25'), Doan (44'), Nakamura (60'), Furuhashi (73')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Henriquez (50')
Gomez (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Japan and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Colombia
Tuesday, March 28 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

El Salvador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-0 El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Japan 2-0 El Salvador

 Although both of these nations have not posted victories of late, Japan's matches have been against far better opposition. With that in mind, as well as home advantage, we can only back the Asian giants to prevail in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawEl Salvador
61.75% (0.077999999999996 0.08) 23.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 15.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 42.78% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)54.97% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (-0.032 -0.03)76.24% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (0.015999999999991 0.02)17.42% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (0.025000000000006 0.03)47.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.8% (-0.111 -0.11)48.2% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.62% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)83.38% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Japan 61.75%
    El Salvador 15.2%
    Draw 23.05%
JapanDrawEl Salvador
1-0 @ 14.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.47% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 61.75%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.2%

How you voted: Japan vs El Salvador

Japan
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
El Salvador
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2019 11am
International Friendlies
Japan
2-0
El Salvador
Nagai (19', 42')
Nakajima (71')

Jimenez (83'), Tamacas (92')
rhs 2.0
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