We said: Saint Kitts and Nevis 0-4 USA
Saint Kitts were outmatched in their opener, and they will be even more so on Wednesday as the Americans possess a ton of quality all over the field, so we anticipate a relatively one-sided affair and a comfortable victory for the reigning Gold Cup champions regardless of who features.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 4.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-2 with a probability of 19.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (18.36%) and 0-3 (13.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.75%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.