CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage

Jun 25, 2023 at 9pm UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Trin. & Tob.
3 - 0
Saint Kitts

Jones (43'), Fortune (65'), Ible (73' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sommersall (26'), Burley (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Trinidad and Tobago and Saint Kitts and Nevis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 1-0 Guatemala
Sunday, June 11 at 11pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	0	0	0
2	Jamaica	0	0	0
3	Trinidad and Tobago	0	0	0
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

Last Game: Saint Kitts 2-0 Aruba
Monday, March 27 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	0	0	0
2	Jamaica	0	0	0
3	Trinidad and Tobago	0	0	0
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0

We said: Trinidad and Tobago 1-1 Saint Kitts and Nevis

Saint Kitts have held their own in CONCACAF lately, and we believe their youthful exuberance and overall depth will be enough to earn them a point against a team in Trinidad and Tobago that have not been all that clinical in the attacking third, particularly in this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.

Result
Trinidad and Tobago	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
56.96% ( 0.12)	24.08% ( -0.28)	18.96% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

1.26)

53.35% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

1.06)

74.89% (

-1.06)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43% (

0.52)

18.57% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.16% (

0.87)

49.83% (

-0.87)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.54% (

0.93)

42.46% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.17% (

0.78)

78.83% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Trinidad and Tobago 56.96%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 18.96%

Draw 24.07%

Trinidad and Tobago	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 56.96%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.96%