World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Jun 16, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Cuscatlán
El Salvador2 - 0Saint Kitts
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 48.32% | 23.39% | 28.29% |
| Both teams to score 60.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
