Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 71.8%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.