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Montserrat national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round
Mar 28, 2021 at 11pm UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato
El Salvador national football team

Montserrat
1 - 1
El Salvador

Taylor (89')
Pond (21'), Comley (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rugamas (3')
Flores Jaco (61'), Corea (76'), Mancia (83')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Montserrat and El Salvador.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
MontserratDrawEl Salvador
15.89%18.6%65.51%
Both teams to score 58.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.55%56.45%
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25%34.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52%71.48%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.12%9.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.26%32.74%
Score Analysis
    Montserrat 15.89%
    El Salvador 65.51%
    Draw 18.6%
MontserratDrawEl Salvador
2-1 @ 4.44%
1-0 @ 3.63%
2-0 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 15.89%
1-1 @ 8.4%
2-2 @ 5.14%
0-0 @ 3.43%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.6%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 9.2%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-3 @ 7.5%
0-3 @ 7.1%
1-4 @ 4.34%
0-4 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.97%
2-4 @ 2.3%
1-5 @ 2.01%
0-5 @ 1.9%
2-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.51%

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