World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 9pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Comoros0 - 3Mali
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Comoros and Mali.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Mali 6-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.39%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Mali |
| 18.78% | 27.67% ( 0) | 53.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 37.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.71% ( -0.01) | 65.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.91% ( -0.01) | 84.09% ( 0) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.01) | 49.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.52% ( -0) | 84.48% ( 0) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( -0.01) | 24.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.46% ( -0.01) | 59.54% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Comoros 18.78%
Mali 53.54%
Draw 27.66%
| Comoros | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.78% | 0-0 @ 12.39% 1-1 @ 12.02% 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 17.22% 0-2 @ 11.96% 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 53.54% |
How you voted: Comoros vs Mali
Comoros
57.1%Draw
14.3%Mali
28.6%7
