Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade de Moroni
Comoros1 - 0Madagascar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Comoros
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Madagascar 2-3 Tunisia
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Comoros have always struggled against Madagascar, but the hosts have shown resilience and the ability to get over the line when needed in this campaign, which is why we are predicting a first-ever win for the home side in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 41.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Comoros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Madagascar |
29.01% ( -0.74) | 29.33% ( 0.61) | 41.66% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.57% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.05% ( -2.17) | 63.95% ( 2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% ( -1.57) | 83.15% ( 1.58) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( -1.79) | 38.9% ( 1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.37% ( -1.74) | 75.63% ( 1.74) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -1) | 30.33% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.49% ( -1.21) | 66.51% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Comoros 29%
Madagascar 41.66%
Draw 29.33%
| Comoros | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.53% Total : 29% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.92)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 14.07% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.21)1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.34% Total : 41.66% |
How you voted: Comoros vs Madagascar
Comoros
53.6%Draw
28.6%Madagascar
17.9%28
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 5pm
Jun 7, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
2-1
Comoros
Jul 13, 2021 11am
Group Stage
Comoros
0-0
Madagascar
Form Guide
